Technalysis Research
 
Previous Blogs

June 4, 2019
Apple Blurs Lines Across Devices

May 21, 2019
Citrix Advances the Intelligent Workspace

May 14, 2019
Next Major Step in AI: On-Device Google Assistant

May 7, 2019
Microsoft Bot Frameworks Enable Custom Voice Assistants

May 1, 2019
Dell Technologies Pushes Toward Hybrid Cloud

April 23, 2019
Intel and Nvidia Partner to Drive Mobile PC Gaming

April 16, 2019
Samsung Galaxy Fold Unfolds the Future

April 9, 2019
Google Embraces Multi-Cloud Strategy with Anthos

April 8, 2019
Intel Helps Drive Data Center Advancements

April 2, 2019
Gaming Content Ecosystem Drives More Usage

March 26, 2019
Apple Card Highlights Disruption Potential for Tech Industry

March 19, 2019
PCs and Smartphones Duke it Out for Gaming Champion

March 12, 2019
Proposed Nvidia Purchase and CXL Standard Point to Data Center Evolution

March 5, 2019
Tech Standards Still Making Slow but Steady Progress with USB4 and WebAuthn

February 26, 2019
Second Gen HoloLens Provides Insights into Edge Computing Models

February 19, 2019
IBM’s Watson Anywhere Highlights Reality of a Multi-Cloud World

February 12, 2019
Extending Digital Personas Across Devices

February 5, 2019
Could Embedded 5G/LTE Kill WiFi?

January 29, 2019
Successful IT Projects More Dependent on Culture Than Technology

January 22, 2019
XR Gaming Market Remains Challenging

January 15, 2019
The Voice Assistant War: What If Nobody Wins?

January 8, 2019
Big CES Announcements are TVs and PCs

January 2, 2019
Top Tech Predictions for 2019

2018 Blogs

2017 Blogs

2016 Blogs

2015 Blogs

2014 Blogs

2013 Blogs
















TECHnalysis Research Blogs
TECHnalysis Research president Bob O'Donnell publishes commentary on current tech industry trends every Tuesday (along with occasional extras) at Techpinions.com and reprints those blog entries here. Those columns are also reprinted on Techspot, SeekingAlpha and LinkedIn and occasionally in re/code, Investing.com, Smarter Analyst and Indian Engineers.

He also writes a regular column in the Tech section of USAToday.com and those columns are posted here. Some of the USAToday columns are also published on partner sites, such as MSN. In addition, he also occasionally writes guest columns in various publications, including Fast Company and engadget. Those columns are reprinted here.

June 11, 2019
AMD’s Gamble Now Paying Off

By Bob O'Donnell

For a company that just a few years ago some people had essentially written off as dead, AMD has certainly come a long way. Not only are they one of the top ten best performing stocks of 2019 so far (after enjoying similarly high rankings for all of 2018), the company recently announced major new partnerships with the who’s who of big tech companies: Microsoft for the next generation Xbox One game console (Project Scarlett), Google for their Stadia cloud-based game streaming service, Sony for the PlayStation 5 game console, Apple for the new MacPro, and Samsung for GPU IP intended to power future generations of Galaxy smartphones and tablets.

On top of that, the company just launched its latest generation desktop CPUs, the Ryzen 3000 series at Computex two weeks ago, and yesterday at E3, debuted its newest Radeon GPU cards, codenamed Navi, that are based on a new GPU Architecture the company calls RDNA (short for Radeon DNA). The first commercially available products from the Navi effort are the 5700 line of desktop GPU cards, designed specifically for the gaming market. Also, in a nod to the importance of CPUs in gaming, the company added a new top-end addition to its 3rd generation Ryzen line: the 16-core, 32-thread capable Ryzen 9 3950X.

All told, it’s a broad and impressive range of offerings, and it’s tied together by a few critical decisions the company leaders made several years back. Specifically, AMD decided to aggressively go after leading-edge 7nm process architecture for both CPUs and GPUs and, importantly, chose to pursue a chiplet strategy. With chiplets, different components of a finished chip, made with different process technologies, could be tied together over a high-speed connection (AMD dubbed theirs Infinity Fabric) instead of trying to put everything together on one monolithic die. Together, these technology bets enabled the company to reach a point where it’s starting to do something that many thought was unthinkable: challenge Intel on CPU performance and challenge Nvidia on GPU performance. While final numbers and testing still need to be done before official winners are declared, it’s clear that AMD can now be considered in the elite tier of performance in the most important semiconductor markets, particularly for CPUs. In the GPU space, AMD chose not to compare its new 5700XT to Nvidia’s highest performance GeForce RTX 2080 and RTX 2080 Ti cards, but given the aggressive $449 pricing of the new AMD 5700XT, that certainly makes sense. (AMD is quick to point out that Apple claimed the new AMD Radeon Pro Vega II Duo powered multi-GPU cards in the Mac Pro are the fastest desktop GPUs in the world, but they’re really more of a workstation product.)

The momentum that AMD is currently enjoying is clearly due, in part, to those big technology bets, particularly around 7nm, as well as the fact that they are one of a few major semiconductor players with significant CPU and GPU assets. Again, many industry observers questioned that strategy for a long time, but now that the company is starting to leverage technologies from one side to the other and is really integrating its approach across what, admittedly, used to be two very distinct groups, the payoffs are starting to happen. In addition, the coordinated efforts are allowing them to do things like be the first company to integrate PCIe 4.0 across both CPUs and GPUs, as they’ve done with the latest Ryzen and Radeon products, as well as leveraging Infinity Fabric for both CPU-to-CPU connections (in the Ryzen line) and GPU-to-GPU connections (in the Pro Vega II inside the Mac Pro).

The company’s vision is now broader, however, as it’s started to reach into the server and datacenter market with its Epyc CPUs and Instinct GPUs, even launching what it claims will be the world’s fastest supercomputer in conjunction with the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The overall Epyc and Instinct market share numbers are still small, and the cloud and datacenter markets are still generally very loyal to Intel and Nvidia, but the fact that AMD is back to being able to compete at all in the server market once again highlights the relevance of its core technology decisions. In addition, though it’s early, AMD’s newly announced partnership with Samsung could finally help the company make an impact on the mobile market—where they have been completely absent. With growing interest in cloud-based game streaming, we could even end up seeing AMD technology in the cloud talking to AMD technology in mobile devices, which is quite a stretch from where they’ve been.

In the end, it’s great for both consumers and businesses to see a truly rejuvenated AMD, because it inevitably forces all of its competitors to get better, which in turn, leads to better products from all the major players, as well as a more dynamic computing market. To be clear, AMD still needs to execute on the broad vision that it has laid out for itself—and unfortunately, execution issues have slowed the company in the past. Still, it’s encouraging to see some key strategies driving new opportunities, and it will be interesting to see what AMD is able to do with them as we head into the future.

Here's a link to the column: https://techpinions.com/amds-gamble-now-paying-off/56300

Bob O’Donnell is the president and chief analyst of TECHnalysis Research, LLC a market research firm that provides strategic consulting and market research services to the technology industry and professional financial community. You can follow him on Twitter @bobodtech.

Podcasts
Leveraging more than 10 years of award-winning, professional radio experience, TECHnalysis Research participates in regular audio podcasts in conjunction with the team at Techpinions.com.
LEARN MORE
  Research Offerings
TECHnalysis Research offers a wide range of research deliverables that you can read about here.
READ MORE